The trillion-dollar opportunity for the industrial sector: How to
extract full value from technology PART I
The digital revolution is just beginning. As
data, connectivity, and processing power expand, so do opportunities for
industrial companies to extract value through innovative products, services,
operational efficiencies, and business models.
With profitable growth in the industrial sector flatlining in recent
years, companies have been striving to innovate faster, get much closer to
customers, and achieve a step change in operational efficiency. Having
exhausted the potential of traditional levers—capital-productivity programs,
operational-cost reduction, footprint optimization, and the like—they urgently
need to find new ways to grow their margins and their business. But how?
In our view, the
explosion in data, connectivity, and cheap processing power and storage means
that industrial companies should be looking to technology-enabled
transformations for their next horizon of performance improvement and growth.
To take just one trend, connected devices in use are expected to more than
double between 2017 and 2020. As new data sources multiply and enable companies
to generate and act on insights in real time, a whole range of innovative
products, services, and business models is opening up.
A handful of leaders
are already turning these trends to advantage and reaping early rewards. Yet
across the sector as a whole, success stories are few and far between. After
seeing promising results from early initiatives, many companies struggle to
scale up and unlock value on a broader front. Indeed, when McKinsey surveyed
executives developing IoT solutions in 2017, more than half had been running
pilots for one to two years, and more than a quarter for even longer. So what’s
going wrong?
In our view, a
piecemeal approach to tech enablement lies at the root of the problem. Many
companies are adopting artificial intelligence, machine learning, cloud
services, and a host of other technologies on a case-by-case basis, instead of
selecting technologies to serve their strategy or meet specific business goals.
We believe success depends on a holistic approach to transformation. That means
defining your aspirations, linking them to sources of business value, working
out which technologies will help achieve them, and then doubling down to
achieve impact across the enterprise.
Below, we analyze the
value that could be unlocked across the industrial sector through successful
tech enablement, look at where this value can be created in the business,
identify the enablers needed to capture it, and consider the steps smart
leaders take to make their transformation a success.
Sizing the prize
Our analysis shows that
successful transformation across the whole industrial sector would be worth
$0.8 trillion to $2 trillion in total return to shareholders, an increase of 9
to 22 percent. This value comes from two sources: an estimated $0.3 trillion to
$0.9 trillion in revenue growth (an improvement of 3 to 10 percent), and $0.3
trillion to $0.7 trillion in margin expansion from efficiency gains (an
improvement of 4 to 9 percent).
In turn, revenue growth
is generated by a range of factors: new business models with services and
features that unlock value for end users; better knowledge of customers that
helps companies tailor products, develop new services, and increase customer
loyalty; the broadening of channels and access to new customers via e-commerce;
and the optimization of pricing across products and services. Meanwhile, the
cost savings that drive margin expansion come from the use of automation,
analytics, and digital tools to enhance workforce productivity across the
business, coupled with the application of advanced analytics and
product-customization techniques to optimize nonlabor costs.
We analyzed these
sources of growth and savings both within the enterprise and at
industry-segment level to determine where the value lies.
Where
value can be captured
The value that could be
captured from tech enablement across the industrial sector is divided among
five areas of value creation within the enterprise: innovating and developing
products and services; making and delivering; selling; servicing; and running
the corporation (Exhibit 1).
Exhibit 1 SEE IN ORIGINAL ARTICLE
As part of our
analysis, we identified how much additional value each of these five areas
could contribute at an industry level. The results are illustrated in Exhibit
2.
Exhibit 2 SEE IN ORIGINAL ARTICLE
Finally, we examined
how value is distributed across the four core segments in the industrial
sector: automotive; commercial and other vehicles; aerospace and defense; and
semiconductors and other industrial products, as shown in Exhibit 3.
Exhibit 3 SEE IN ORIGINAL ARTICLE
Innovating and developing products and services
As connectivity
spreads, data sources proliferate, and valuable insights can be generated in
real time, companies have unprecedented opportunities to innovate across the
board in products, services, and business models. Successful innovation relies
not only on sound data and technology but on a deep understanding of how to use
them to tap into new sources of value. For industrial companies, this begins
with an intimate knowledge of end users’ needs and pain points. Depending on
where you sit in the value chain, this could well mean getting to know not just
your customer but your customer’s customer. It’s also likely to mean expanding
into unfamiliar areas outside the boundaries of your traditional business.
Manufacturers of
heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems, for example, are
venturing beyond their core of equipment sales. By using technology to analyze
data from motion, temperature, and energy-use sensors, they can take over
temperature monitoring and control in the office or factory from corporations,
and help them manage their energy costs. In much the same way,
original-equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and suppliers selling agricultural
equipment have devised sophisticated controls that automatically adjust
operating parameters and settings in real time to suit external conditions. The
speed and direction of, say, a harvester can be fine-tuned to crop density,
enhancing productivity and reducing equipment wear and tear. Manufacturers can
deliver and charge for these and many other features on demand.
Making and delivering
Businesses can
capitalize on advances in automation, machine learning, and robotics to make
themselves more cost-efficient, flexible, and responsive to customer needs. The
new era of automated production and data exchange opens up a broad range of use
cases that can cut cost, increase yield, and support new manufacturing methods.
Take the autonomous guided vehicles that move materials in plants and
distribution centers, like the Kiva robots (renamed to Amazon Robotics) that
Amazon uses to pick and pack goods in its fulfillment hubs. Automation can cut
storage, picking, and sorting costs by 10 to 30 percent—a hefty savings given
that these activities typically account for up to 40 percent of costs in a
distribution center.
In manufacturing, one
of the many activities that lend themselves to automation is welding, a highly
manual and error-prone process at most plants. Welding can account for 20 to 30
percent of the cost of manufacturing automotive equipment and large energy
pipelines, for instance, and bad welds can be responsible for up to 5 percent
of welding costs. Using robotic welding with intelligent controls, and
monitoring quality during the process rather than afterward, can reduce bad
welds by up to 80 percent, adding up to 0.5 percent to manufacturers’ margins.
Selling
Today’s industrial
companies sell their equipment through a complex set of channels that have
evolved over decades. However, as industrial buyers and end users become more
digitally savvy, they are increasingly doing their product research and order
tracking online, often via tablets or smartphones. Meanwhile, traditional
channels and sales models are being disrupted by innovators using technology to
carve out new roles in the value chain.
To catch up, industrial
companies should first gain a clear understanding of how their customers are
buying and then work back along each customer decision journey to assess which
digital tools and channels will add most value to the sales process and how to
reinvent their selling platform. The options to consider range from e-commerce
through an analytics engine that informs pricing and proposes the next product
to buy, and from microsegmentation to digital customer-experience tools. When
applied throughout the business, tools like these can improve productivity,
margins, and customer stickiness, boosting profitability for first movers in a
given sector.
Servicing
In aerospace,
automotive, commercial vehicles, and other advanced sectors, aftermarket sales
have grown more quickly than other areas of the business as capital investment
in new equipment has slowed. Accordingly, aftermarket services—the provision of
parts, repairs, maintenance, and digital services for the equipment a
manufacturer sells—are the new focus of attention for leading industrial
companies. These services provide more stable revenues than sales of new
equipment and, often, higher margins as well. One McKinsey analysis across 30
industries showed that the average EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes)
margin was 25 percent for aftermarket services, compared with 10 percent for
new equipment.2
The aftermarket service
process is ripe for disruption. As innovative solutions such as predictive
maintenance mature, manufacturers can use them to create stronger links with
end customers, form a clearer view of how these customers use their products
(and how the products perform), and capture increasing revenues from services.
At the same time, tech enablement can be applied to field-force management,
scheduling, and parts management to reduce costs and improve productivity.
By Venkat Atluri, Saloni Sahni, and Satya Rao
https://www.mckinsey.com/business-functions/digital-mckinsey/our-insights/the-trillion-dollar-opportunity-for-the-industrial-sector
CONTNUES IN PART II
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