From lab to leader: How consumer companies can drive growth at scale
with disruptive innovation PART I
In the
era of “fast products” and digital disruption, delivering growth requires
putting in place new predictive consumer-growth capabilities, including
innovation, based on speed, agility, and scale.
Innovation is central to
the mission, values, and agenda of most consumer-packaged-goods (CPG)
companies. However, in the last several years, incumbent CPGs have struggled to
keep pace with start-ups, which have reinvigorated and reinvented categories
ranging from ice cream to diapers.
Our analysis of the
food and beverage market from 2013–17 reveals that the top 25 manufacturers are
responsible for 59 percent of sales but only 2 percent of category growth.
Conversely, 44 percent of category growth has come from the next 400
manufacturers. Our experience in working with large consumer companies
suggests that they don’t suffer from a lack of ideas; where they struggle is in
knowing where to make bets, moving products quickly to launch, and then
nurturing them to scale. Effectively driving growth through innovation requires
CPG companies to evolve many of the assets and capabilities already in place
and adopt significantly different and new ways of working.
This change will not be
easy. Many of the innovation systems that need to evolve are deeply entrenched.
They have their own brand names, dedicated IT systems, firmly established
management routines, and more. However, our work with CPG organizations has
convinced us that these changes are necessary and can return significant value.
Our analysis of ~350 CPG companies across 21 subcategories found that growth
leaders excelled at harnessing commercial capabilities, including innovation.
Additional McKinsey analysis has shown that CPG “Creator” companies—those that consistently
develop new products or services—grow more than their peers. These winning
Creators have adopted a formula that borrows the best from progressive new
players while fully leveraging existing advantages in scope and scale.
How did we get here?
For the past two
decades, CPG innovation models have been designed to maintain and steadily grow
already at-scale brands. This meant that most innovations were largely
incremental moves with the occasional one-off disruptive success. This slow and
steady approach worked because CPGs didn’t really need disruptive innovation to
grow. Geographic expansion, pricing, and brand extensions were all successful
strategies that kept the top line moving. As a result, most of the systems
designed to manage these innovations were optimized for fairly predictable and
low-volatility initiatives. They emphasized reliability and risk management.
That very success,
however, led to calcified thinking as companies built large brands and poured
resources into supporting and protecting them. In recent years, as they have
tried to respond to new entrants and rapidly changing consumer needs, CPGs
found their innovation systems tended to stifle and stall more disruptive
efforts. As the returns from innovation dwindled, companies cut marketing,
insights, and innovation budgets to cover profit shortfalls. This created a
negative cycle. As a stopgap, many large consumer companies have turned to
M&A to fill holes in the innovation portfolio—but on its own, M&A can
be a very expensive path to growth with its own difficulties in scalability and
cultural fit.
How new upstarts “do”
innovation—speed, agility, consumer-first—is not exactly a secret. Many CPGs
have made concerted efforts to embrace those attributes by setting up
incubators, garages, or labs. They have tried to become agile and use
test-and-learn programs. But while there have been notable successes, they tend
to be episodic or fail to scale because they happen at the periphery of the
main innovation system, or even as explicit “exemptions” from standard
processes. Scaled success requires making disruptive innovation part of the
normal course of business.
What to learn from today’s innovators
Despite the many
challenges, there are consumer companies winning in the market and driving
profitable growth. Here are four shifts they’re making:
1. Focus on targeted consumer needs.
All of us can think of
innovative products that are competing head to head in established categories
(some of our favorites include Halo Top, SkinnyPop, and Blue Buffalo). A common
denominator for most of them is that they didn’t start big but focused instead
on a targeted and unmet consumer need that turned out to have broad
reach.
That approach stands in
stark contrast to the standard CPG model, where companies look for the products
that satisfy the largest group (“gen pop”). An important reason for this focus
is that many CPGs need an idea to be big enough to make a dent in their
business. They also look to get the highest ROI for innovations to amortize the
high costs historically required to launch (especially ad campaigns and capital
expenditures for new manufacturing). But in a world where it is less expensive
and easier than ever for companies to address more targeted needs, and where
consumers have never had more choices at their fingertips, gen pop is becoming
less and less viable as an objective or requirement.
This isn’t to suggest
that large CPG firms should stop looking for large and growing opportunities.
But the evidence is clear that there are plenty of products that start small
and would normally be killed off at a large CPG company, that explode once in
the market.
All strong innovation
begins with the ability to identify a consumer need that the marketplace isn’t
addressing. That happens by:
·
Exploring
granular consumer needs with advanced analytics.
CPG leaders explore opportunities
through highly granular, data-rich maps of product benefits, consumer needs,
and usage occasions rather than just segments or categories (we call these
Growth Maps). These can reveal how a seemingly niche and emerging trend could
have surprisingly broad reach and applicability.
·
Combining
many data sources to quickly address tipping-point trends.
Leaders combine various data
sources (consumer, business, technology) to identify market trends that are
hitting relevant tipping points. They understand where the most promising
trends are, where they have existing capabilities to play, and where they might
need to build new muscle. And they bring all this together to rapidly
prioritize where to take action.
·
Using
design thinking.
By using empathy to uncover
unspoken and unmet needs, designing new solutions with consumers and channel
partners, and rapidly prototyping and testing, design thinking produces
distinctive answers. Importantly, true design thinking continues to incorporate
consumer insights and iterate product designs even after initial product launch
(see more below). Two leading consumer companies in Japan recently set up
“innovation garages” to integrate design thinking into product development
methods. They were excited by the power of integrating design into product
development methods to produce better, more consumer-driven products radically
faster.
2. Launch more “speedboats”—accepting that
some of them will sink.
There is a prevailing
myth that consumer companies need to do a few big launches a year. Even if that
were once true, it no longer is. This approach required large R&D
investments, extensive consumer testing to validate willingness to purchase,
and massive resources (large advertising, promotion, and distribution
budgets)—all in an attempt to predict success and perfect a product before a
large, potentially multicountry launch. This mentality assumed the resulting
product could not fail once it hit the open market.
However, our findings
suggest that putting all this effort and funding to drive a successful launch
has not actually provided the desired results. In packaged food, for example, a
review of new brands and disruptive innovations launched in 2013 by large CPG
companies found that only 25 percent were still around four years later. This
success rate is no better than what start-ups and small CPGs achieved with much
smaller budgets and programs.
Winning innovators, in
contrast, increasingly rely on speedboats: smaller launches where the product
is tested and refined in-market. Take the example of one global CPG that is
extensively using “first-purchase testing” to understand why consumers are/are
not purchasing a product, then integrating that feedback into further
iterations. It has been testing real products in multiple nontraditional
settings including office buildings, juice shops, and yoga studios. The
insights gained from these live settings allow the company to rapidly iterate
the product design. Once indicators of success are seen, it moves to rapidly
scale the product via Amazon and traditional retailers. The approach works,
because in today’s ecosystem, there are many distribution channels and digital
and social-media outlets to reach consumers less expensively, as well as
external networks that can support efficient and productive discovery and
development.
The Internet also
provides an under-utilized testing ground for speedboats. Many disruptive
brands start by marketing direct to consumers, which allows them to hone the
product and messaging, while capturing detailed data on purchase behavior. Even
without e-commerce, most start-ups are heavily using social media like Facebook
to reach targeted audiences with lower cost and risk.
More speedboats,
however, can mean more headaches for general managers who have to keep track of
more projects and then nurture products to scale. CPG leaders address this
through strong portfolio management. They make clear, prioritized choices about
the categories and segments in which they will innovate and which ones they
will maintain or exit from. They put in place clear processes for tracking
performance and new allocation mechanisms to quickly get funds to promising
programs. And when they need to scale new bets, they fund them by reinvesting
initial proceeds from the speedboats.
CONTINUES IN PART II
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