The promise and
challenge of the age of artificial intelligence PART III
5.
AI will also bring both
societal benefits and challenges
Alongside the economic benefits and
challenges, AI will impact society in a positive way, as it helps tackle societal
challenges ranging from health and nutrition to equality and inclusion.
However, it is also creating pitfalls that will need to be addressed, including
unintended consequences and misuse.
AI could help tackle some of society’s most
pressing challenges
By automating routine
or unsafe activities and those prone to human error, AI could allow humans to
be more productive and to work and live more safely. One study looking at the
United States estimates that replacing human drivers with more accurate
autonomous vehicles could save thousands of lives per year by reducing
accidents.
AI can also reduce the
need for humans to work in unsafe environments such as offshore oil rigs and
coal mines. DARPA, for example, is testing small robots that could be deployed
in disaster areas to reduce the need for humans to be put in harm’s way.
Several AI capabilities are especially relevant. Image classification performed
on photos of skin taken via a mobile phone app could evaluate whether moles are
cancerous, facilitating early-stage diagnosis for individuals with limited
access to dermatologists. Object detection can help visually impaired people
navigate and interact with their environment by identifying obstacles such as
cars and lamp posts. Natural language processing could be used to track disease
outbreaks by monitoring and analyzing text messages in local languages.
Visualizing the uses
and potential impact of AI and other analytics
Our work and that of others has highlighted
numerous use cases across many domains where AI could be applied for social
good. For these AI-enabled interventions to be effectively applied, several
barriers must be overcome. These include the usual challenges of data,
computing, and talent availability faced by any organization trying to apply
AI, as well as more basic challenges of access, infrastructure, and financial
resources that are particularly acute in remote or economically challenged
places and communities.
AI will need to address societal concerns
including unintended consequences, misuse, algorithmic bias, and questions
about data privacy
In economic terms,
difficult questions will need to be addressed about the widening economic gaps
across individuals, firms, sectors, and even countries that might emerge as an
unintended consequence of deployment. Other areas of concern include the use and misuse of AI.
These range from use in surveillance and military applications to use in social
media and politics, and where the impact has social consequences such as in
criminal justice systems. We must also consider the potential for users with malicious
intent, including in areas of cybersecurity. Multiple research efforts are
currently under way to identify best practices and address such issues in
academic, nonprofit, and private-sector research.
Some concerns are
directly related to the way algorithms and the data used to train them may
introduce new biases or perpetuate and institutionalize existing social and
procedural biases. For example, facial recognition models trained on a
population of faces corresponding to the demographics of artificial
intelligence developers may not reflect the broader population.
What AI can and can’t (yet) do
There have been many exciting
breakthroughs in AI recently—but
significant challenges remain. Partner Michael Chui explains five limitations
to AI that must be overcome.
Data privacy and use of
personal information are also critical issues to address if AI is to realize
its potential. Europe has led the way in this area with the General Data Protection
Regulation, which introduced more stringent consent requirements for data
collection, gives users the right to be forgotten and the right to object, and
strengthens supervision of organizations that gather, control, and process
data, with significant fines for failures to comply. Cybersecurity and “deep
fakes” that could manipulate election results or perpetrate large-scale fraud
are also a concern.
6.
Three priorities for
achieving good outcomes
The potential benefits
of AI to business and the economy, and the way the technology addresses some of
the societal challenges, should encourage business leaders and policy makers to
embrace and adopt AI. At the same time, the potential challenges to adoption,
including workforce impacts, and other social concerns cannot be ignored. Key
challenges to be addressed include:
The deployment challenge
We have an interest in
embracing AI, given its likely contributions to business value, economic growth, and social good, at a time when many
economies need to boost productivity. Businesses and countries have a strong
incentive to keep up with global leaders such as the United States and China.
Increased and broad deployment will require accelerating the progress being
made on the technical challenges, as well making sure that all potential users
have access to AI and can benefit from it. Among measures that may be needed:
·
Investing in and
continuing to advance AI research and innovation in a manner that ensures that
the benefits can be shared by all.
·
Expanding available
data sets, especially in areas where their use would drive wider benefits for
the economy and society.
·
Investing in
AI-relevant human capital and infrastructure to broaden the talent base capable
of creating and executing AI solutions to keep pace with global AI leaders.
·
Encouraging increased
AI literacy among business leaders and policy makers to guide informed decision
making.
·
Supporting existing
digitization efforts that form the foundation for eventual AI deployment for
both organizations and countries.
The future of work challenge
A starting point for
addressing the potential disruptive impacts of automation will be to ensure
robust economic and productivity growth, which is a prerequisite for job growth
and increasing prosperity. Governments will also need to foster business
dynamism, since entrepreneurship and more rapid new business formation will not
only boost productivity, but also drive job creation. Addressing the issues
related to skills, jobs, and wages will require more focused measures. These include:
·
Evolving education
systems and learning for a changed workplace by focusing on STEM skills as well
as creativity, critical thinking, and lifelong learning.
·
Stepping up private-
and public-sector investments in human capital, perhaps aided by incentives and
credits analogous to those available for R&D investments.
·
Improving labor market
dynamism by supporting better credentialing and matching, as well as enabling
diverse forms of work, including the gig economy.
·
Rethinking incomes by
considering and experimenting with programs that would provide not only income
for work, but also meaning and dignity.
·
Rethinking transition
support and safety nets for workers affected, by drawing on best practices from
around the world and considering new approaches.
The responsible AI challenge
AI will not live up to
its promise if the public loses confidence in it as a result of privacy
violations, bias, or malicious use, or if much of the world comes to blame it
for exacerbating inequality. Establishing confidence in its abilities to do
good, at the same time as addressing misuses, will be critical. Approaches
could include:
·
Strengthening consumer,
data, and privacy and security protections.
·
Establishing a
generally shared framework and set of principles for the beneficial and safe
use of AI.
·
Best practice sharing
and ongoing innovation to address issues such as safety, bias, and
explainability.
·
Striking the right
balance between the business and national competitive race to lead in AI to
ensure that the benefits of AI are widely available and shared.
By James
Manyika and Jacques
Bughin https://www.mckinsey.com/featured-insights/artificial-intelligence/the-promise-and-challenge-of-the-age-of-artificial-intelligence?cid=other-eml-alt-mgi-mck-oth-1810&hlkid=d8e6c806ff1747359d88afe9434acd4f&hctky=1627601&hdpid=5e509231-17b4-465a-8942-c2f58b1db936
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