Wednesday, November 8, 2017

TECH SPECIAL ...The evolution in agrochemicals & its marriage with biotechnology

The evolution in agrochemicals & its marriage with biotechnology
The global agrochemicals industry continues to see significant shifts, including consolidation. A broadening of capabilities to better serve agriculture is evident in a slew of mergers and acquisitions that have taken place or in the process of completion. The industry is also seeing divestments to satisfy the needs of regulators who are concerned that the emerging industry structure will reduce competition and lead to dominant market positions. Regulators in charge of monitoring the industry have come under pressure to outlaw products deemed unsafe.

Synthetic chemicals for tackling pests
Not long ago, the business of agrochemicals was mostly about spraying the right synthetic chemical at the right time to target a specific pest threatening to afflict a particular crop. The products, typically innovated more than 50 years ago, and manufactured in significant tonnage even now, were designed to eliminate one or more pests, but some have been shown to have undesirable side-effects: toxicity – either directly or through degradation products – to other species, including humans; persistence in the environment & food products; and health risks ranging from cancers to neurological effects to endocrine disruption, to name a few. All this served to give the industry a bad rap.
Treating with chemical pesticides still remains the dominant mode of tackling pests for the simple reason that it is very effective. As a strategy, it will be around for a long time, as the need to protect crops – pre- and post-harvest – will be vital. Losses of crops to insects, fungal blight, rodents etc. is substantial, especially in tropical countries, with some estimates pegging just the post-harvest losses in India in the range of 20-30% of production. This is unacceptable anywhere in the world, and more so in a developing country that has only recently made the transition to self-sufficiency in food.
There are other aspects of the agrochemicals industry that are probably less known, but just as important. The ability to selectively tackle rampaging weeds, for instance, without affecting the desired crop is key to improving agricultural productivity, as both crop and weed compete for limited nutrients in the soil. Nutrients are expensive and made through processes that have high water, energy and carbon footprints. The manufacture of urea – the world’s preferred source of nitrogen – accounts for about 2% of global energy consumption, a level unlikely to see much reduction given that the energy-efficiency of modern urea plants is approaching theoretical limits.
Even in a populous country as India, where labour is ostensibly cheap and widely available, farmers increasingly prefer herbicides to backbreaking manual weeding.

Better specificity at lower dosages
While synthetic chemicals still hold sway to tackle pests, these are now a very different lot. Thanks to innovation in the industry – mostly in the developed world – farmers have at their disposal highly specific chemical agents effective against crops/pests at very low dosages. Indeed, it is not much of a stretch to state that the mechanisms of action, environmental degradation profiles and impacts on human health of modern agrochemicals are better understood than is the case for several commodity chemicals used in quantities that are, at times, thousands of times larger.
Formulation technologies have also evolved to ensure less wastage of sprays, better availability on the crop, and convenience of use at the hands of the farmer. Speciality chemicals such as adjuvants have a role to play here. The industry has moved a long way from using simple solutions in water, emulsifiable concentrates in a petroleum-based solvents, or dusts & wettable powders. Novel formulations, such as water-soluble packs, can also give products a competitive advantage, add value or extend the lifecycle of active ingredients.

Robust, responsive and transparent regulatory system – need of the hour
Nearly every country in the world has a regulatory system for steering the use of pesticides, and assessing their impacts. They are in charge of churning the portfolio permitted for use, in response to new science. This is vital as pesticides resistance is common and needs to be countered by changing the chemicals armoury.
In India, the Central Insecticides Board is charged with laying down the rules of the game: the active ingredients (technical, in industry parlance) that can be used; the manner in which they can be formulated; the safety protocols that need to be followed by the farmer; and the crops for which they are approved. These rules must evolve on the basis of sound science, and the best regulatory agencies are ones that are alert to findings that provide new light in particular on impacts on human health. Even in the developing countries this is a challenge. As example, read about the tussle to ban chlorpyriphos – an old and well-studied molecule – in the US, with strong arguments mooted on both sides of the debate!
Regulators need to take a balanced view of the data available to them and submissions made, including by environmental groups and NGOs some of who want all pesticides outlawed. Pesticides regulation is, therefore, a tricky exercise, not immune to the pulls & pressures of lobby groups, including industry (which has an interest in maintaining the status quo) and disruptive environmentalists seeking drastic changes. It would be naïve to presume that regulation of agrochemicals (or for that matter anything) happens in a vacuum, bereft of influence, but the answer does not lie in just mistrusting the regulator, but instead equipping them with officials of high integrity & capability, and holding them accountable to their decisions. Transparency is key, and opening their functioning to the glaring lights of public scrutiny can be a powerful tool to ensure balanced decision-making.
India’s regulators – not just in the agrochemical industry – have a long way to go in this regard.

Agrochemicals & biotechnology – synergies
The agrochemical industry is increasingly being shaped by biotechnology, and the two are now seen as synergistic tools that can lead to safer and more sustainable crop care.
The ability to tinker genes in plants to better yields, improve tolerance to stresses (drought, salinity, pests etc.) or improve crop characteristics are well known, and aside of some geographies, genetic modification is now accepted as a viable & safe option for enhancing food security. India has embraced GM cotton in a big manner, despite messengers of doom warning of dire consequences, and the benefits in terms of cotton yields and quantum & nature of pesticides sprayed has been significant.
Till the advent of BT-cotton – the GM form with the genes of a natural bacterium toxin built-in – cotton accounted for a disproportionately large share of insecticides sprayed. Much of these were older generation products – used in high dosages and less discriminate in the pests they attack. That has now changed and is a pointer to the benefits agri-biotech can bring and the way in which it can shape the agrochemicals industry.
But the marriage between agri-biotech and agrochemicals is best illustrated by the herbicide glyphosate and GM crops (soybean, corn) with innate resistance to it. The combination allows for glyphosate to be used for tackling weeds without harming the crops, and has taken the herbicide to top-spot in terms of agrochemicals produced and used. The technology has since been embraced for other combinations and the approach is reshaping the structure of the agrochemical, seeds and agri-biotech companies.

Seed treatment – promising growth area
Another strategy that shows much promise is seed treatment, in which pesticides are applied to the seed prior to planting. This can achieve exceptionally high efficiencies, in terms of effective dose-transfer to a crop, and can be seen as an extension of the strategy to do more with less. A typical seed coating can include a nutrient layer, containing nitrogen, phosphorus, and potassium; a rhizobial layer, containing symbiotic bacteria and other beneficial microorganisms; and a fungicide (or other chemical) layer to make the seed less vulnerable to pests.
Seed treatment is roughly a $6-bn business today, growing at 10% or thereabouts – levels likely to be maintained for the mid-term at the least. It is a high-skill business with potential for generating higher returns than the commoditised space of agrochemicals or plain seeds.

Consolidated plays
The leading players in agrochemicals – the likes of Bayer CropScience, Syngenta, Dow AgroSciences, ChemChina etc. – clearly see a consolidated play spanning conventional chemical treatment, biopesticides, seed treatment and agricultural biotechnology as the future. They are investing to meet gaps in their portfolios and/or buying into other companies to make up for what they lack. This explains Bayer’s bid for Monsanto and ChemChina’s bid for Syngenta. BASF is possibly the only exception to this approach; it does not have any portfolio in seeds and seems to have no desire to change the situation. Instead, it is strengthening its portfolio of chemical pesticides by buying significant businesses others have to dispose to meet concerns of competition authorities.
The business of agrochemicals is evolving and the line between biological and chemical treatment is blurring. Indian agrochemical companies – focussed largely on generics – will need to take cognisance of these changes to stay relevant.
- Ravi Raghavan

CHWKLY 31OCT17

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