When should you sell a mutual fund
Investors often sell mutual
funds for the worst possible reasons. They should actually sell a fund only
when they need the money to meet a financial goal.
Every saver knows that there are numerous mutual fund schemes
and choosing a suitable one to invest in can be a difficult task. Everyone also
has a way around it. They either seek the help of advisers or websites or just
ask around. However, there’s actually an even more difficult choice that
investors face—which funds to sell off and when. Curiously, it is the more
knowledgeable and more involved investors who face this problem. The reason is
those of us who are active and involved investors always have an urge to do
something. Such investors generally do well because they learn, analyse and act
more than others. Soon enough, they start equating being good investors with
doing something, often anything. Unfortunately, along with everything else, in
practice, this also translates into being all too ready to sell off their
investments.
There are many reasons for selling funds, but not all of them
are good. There can be exceptions, but the good reasons tend to be about the
investor’s own finances and the wrong reasons tend to be about the fund. Let me
explain. Overactive investors give three reasons for wanting to sell off a fund
investment. One, they’ve made profits; two, they’ve made losses and three,
they’ve made neither profits nor losses. This may sound like a joke but it
isn’t. Someone will say, “Now that my investments have gone up, shouldn’t I
book profits?” Or, “This fund has lost a bit of money recently, shouldn’t I get
out of it?” And finally, “The fund has neither gained nor lost, shouldn’t I
sell it?” Basically, what I’m saying is that investors who have a bias for
continuous action can create a logic for taking action out of any kind of
situation.
So which is the right reason for selling a fund? Obviously, none
of the above. By themselves, they are not legitimate reasons for selling a
fund. The first comes from the spurious ‘booking profits’ concept that advisers
have promoted. Booking profits doesn’t make sense for stocks, and it makes even
less sense for mutual funds. In both, this attitude makes investors sell their
winners and hang on to their losers. In mutual funds, the whole point is that
there is a fund manager who is deciding for you which stocks to sell and which
to buy. If the fund manager is doing this job well, then the fund will be giving
good returns. Therefore, selling a fund that has made good returns is the exact
reverse of what investors should be doing.
Let’s come to the second reason now. While selling
underperformers is a legitimate idea, you need to evaluate the timeframe and
the degree of underperformance. Investors try to sell funds that have generally
performed very well but may have underperformed other funds by small margins.
Someone will say that over the last year, my fund has generated 25% but five
other funds have generated 30%, so I will switch to those. This switching based
on short-term past performance is counter-productive and does nothing to
improve your future returns. Only if a fund underperforms consistently for two
or more years, and drops down two notches in its rating should you switch away
from it. In fact, following a relatively long-period risk-adjusted rating
system is the right way to make a decision.
So when should investors actually sell their funds? The right
answer is that they should be guided by their own financial goals. You should
sell a fund and get your money out when you need it. Let’s say you have
invested for five or 10 or 15 years, continued your SIPs, and now the money has
grown to what you need. You need to make a down payment for a house, or pay for
your child’s education, or whatever else. If you’re getting close to that time,
you should sell and redeem, irrespective of the state of the market. In fact,
unless it’s an expense that can be postponed if needed, you should start acting
one or two years before time. Withdraw the money from the equity fund and start
parking it in a liquid fund. You can use an automated STP (Systematic Transfer
Plan) for this, which will be convenient.
In a manner of speaking, the primary goal of investing is not to
invest but to sell because that’s when you achieve your goal. Be guided by
that.
DHIRENDRA KUMAR
CEO, VALUE RESEARCH
CEO, VALUE RESEARCH
ET3SEP18
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