Friday, January 15, 2016

STARTUP SPECIAL..... Hyper Growth, but Profits?

Hyper Growth, but Profits?


Grofers' breakneck speed is doing wonders to its valuation, but the viability of grocery delivery has several question marks around it

In the 12 months till November 2015, the valuation of Grofers, a Gurgaon-based hyperlocal grocery delivery firm, has grown 10-fold to around $200 million. That was the month in which it closed its latest round of funding of $120 million from Softbank, Tiger Global, Russian billionaire Yuri Milner and Sequoia Capital. In those 12 months, the company which started as a B2B services provider for online grocers, before pivoting to its current hyperlocal focus, has expanded to 26 cities and works with 10,000 merchants.“We are in the habit-forming phase with consumers,“ says chief executive and cofounder Saurabh Kumar. “We have begun to replace the phone call to the local grocer or kiranawalla.“ Despite this sharp growth (Grofers has hired some 3,500 and plans to add several thousand more in the next 12 to 18 months), Kumar, a civil engineer from IITBombay, believes the company has only laid the most preliminary building blocks for its business. “Of the overall market of $500 billion, roughly 70% is groceries and the amount that has moved online is minuscule,“ he contends.
Instead, Kumar and his team are working at breakneck speed to build a backend to keep pace with this growth.“The winner in this highlycompetitive market is the one who is able to build this robust backend to support this growth... we are doing around 30,000 deliveries a day and anticipate in the next few months itself this will cross one lakh,“ he says.
It isn't just the delivery net work that gives Kumar sleepless nights; he and the Grofers team are obsessed with expanding the assortment -range of products -available to browsers online. And, consumers appear to be biting. “We are overwhelmed with the way demand has grown,“ Kumar says. Average order size has increased from `400 to around `750, he adds.
Critics of the hyperlocal deliv ery business argue that businesses such as Grofers are building ventures mostly focused on sky-high valuations, with little focus on the bottomline. The economics don't work out, these doubters contend, since order sizes are too fractional to justify the cost of sourcing them (often from multiple local stores) and delivering them to customers. “Everyone was chasing growth at the cost of building systems to support this scale...there was and is a lot of froth in the industry, but that is settling down,“ says Kumar. As some local ventures have struggled, Grofers has grown as it has leaned on some old skills learnt as a B2B player. “We are the largest player in the market today and we think we also have the solid base required to grow this business into a billion dollar entity,“ says Kumar.
Grofers doesn't expect to make the journey on its own steam entirely. In the last cou ple of months, it has made two acquihires of startups Townrush and SpoonJoy as it sought to fatten its manage ment team and add local ex pertise. While growing and managing a hyperlocal busi ness may be a part of Grofers' agenda, the other key re quirement is convincing tech nology-averse grocers to come aboard. According to Kumar, Grofers adds around 10% incremental business every month, but thinks that as technology and systems improve this could go up sig nificantly. “It used to be diffi cult in the beginning...but es pecially in this market your reputation is built on word-of mouth marketing,“ Ku mar says. “We are re placing an unreliable system with some thing more predicta ble and giving gro cers incremental revenue for no cost to their own topline.“

ETM3JAN16

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