HEALTHCARE SPECIAL
Alexa, What’s Going on with Healthcare?
As large companies join forces to tackle healthcare, they will
accelerate innovation and disruption in the broader industry.
In
early February, Amazon, JPMorgan Chase, and Berkshire Hathaway announced a partnership to tackle rising healthcare costs for
their U.S. employees.
The
announcement, which didn’t do much beyond outlining the formation of the
partnership, is a sign of the times. With costs continuing to rise far above
the pace of inflation, employers are beginning to take direct action to deliver
greater value and develop a more consumer-oriented, transparent, and competitive
marketplace for maintaining health, productivity, care, and coverage. Since its
founding in 2016, for example, the Health Transformation Alliance, which represents 40 companies with 6 million employees
and US$25 billion in annual healthcare spending, has negotiated contracts with
CVS and OptumRx to cut drug spending by 15 percent, established value-based
provider networks in cities with a high volume of patients and a high
variability of prices, and started using data analytics to support clinical
decision making. Technology companies, health systems, and retailers are
striking combinations that are similarly aimed at reducing costs.
The details of the Amazon–JPMorgan
Chase–Berkshire Hathaway plan, which, notably, does not involve a health
industry incumbent, have yet to be fully revealed. Although the three companies
have a substantial number of U.S. employees — 1.1 million between them — they
are not aiming to produce value via scale. Amazon, which has pharmacy licenses
in 12 states, has shown an uncanny ability to predict and fulfill consumer
needs across a range of digital, retail, and mail channels, and to build and
leverage reliable, user-friendly, and interoperable ecosystems. JPMorgan Chase,
which is embracing digital transformation, has strengths in payments, market
making, and financing. And Berkshire Hathaway has substantial property and
casualty insurance and reinsurance market businesses, an established
distribution model, and capabilities to price, buy, and sell risk. The
consortium’s stated goal is to help improve health costs via technology, and to
create value by providing greater transparency and competition, reallocating
risk, and eliminating waste and intermediaries.
But the announcement is interesting for a few
reasons. Even though it is directed at the companies’ own employees, it
highlights the types of capabilities and platforms that may be needed to win in
the future health marketplace. It points to the potential for new entrants to
disrupt incumbents in insurance and care delivery. And it throws into relief
the kinds of bold moves that resilient players can afford to make.
The Plays
A consortium between companies with
complementary capabilities and scale has the potential to optimize the matching
of supply and demand within healthcare via new mechanisms (i.e., exchanges),
the facilitation of easier transactions (including faster, multichannel
delivery), and new products (such as wellness and healthcare bundles). And as a
consortium begins to target health spending successfully, it could move from
lower to higher clinical complexity and from local to national marketplaces.
Accordingly,
we see three classes of potential plays for a consortium of companies that band
together, ranging from the least disruptive (and quickest to implement) to the
most disruptive (with the longest time to implement). They are incremental
innovation (testing the waters with gradual and piecemeal
innovation); technology and analytics(enabling the improvement and
redesign of the existing system); and radical disruption (creating
new platforms, marketplaces, and ecosystems).
Incremental Innovation Plays
•
Buy/partner with a third-party administrator.
Use
the buying power provided by the companies’ large number of members to buy or
partner with a third-party administrator, thus removing the need for payors.
The service could then be extended to other employers.
•
Offer near-site clinics.
Leverage
the combined physical footprint of the consortium members to invest in up-front
care that would in turn reduce downstream hospital costs. This would include
partnering with facilities/care delivery providers and recruiting general
practitioners to offer on- or near-site primary care clinics.
•
Enable direct-to-provider contracting.
Segment
the employee base into groups — e.g., chronic conditions, healthy, risky — and
directly contract with providers to manage those populations.
•
Enter pharmaceutical/durable medical equipment (DME) distribution and manufacturing.
Ship
drugs in one convenient monthly package directly from manufacturers, use cloud
computing to create a more efficient pharma supply chain. A consortium could
potentially expand into the manufacturing of biosimilars and generics drugs.
Technology and Analytics
Plays
•
Offer virtual services. Build or host a
network of virtual care services such as telehealth and second opinions, and
eventually evolve to operate a “virtual hospital” in which specialists
supervise medical care from a distance.
•
Offer a customized consumer (member/employer) portal.
Leverage
data and analytics capabilities to personalize consumer engagement and
experience, provide targeted concierge services, and integrate health and
productivity incentives.
•
Offer data-driven insights.
Use
data collection, tracking, and management to automate discovery, fuel
AI-enabled decision making, and offer insights to stakeholders on, for example,
the relative effectiveness of wellness programs.
•
Offer services for providers/employers.
Leverage
data, technology, and analytics capabilities to relieve the administrative and
regulatory burden for providers and employers.
Radical Disruption
•
Develop a B2B and B2C clinical capacity exchange/marketplace.
Much
as Airbnb does with rooms and OpenTable does with restaurant tables, enable
care-delivery providers to monetize current and excess capacity and let
consumers identify, compare (on price, quality, and availability), and book
needed clinical capacity at the required time and for the needed procedure.
•
Develop a direct-to-employer (D2E) reverse auction platform.
Similar
to a private exchange, the D2E platform would let employers segment their
employee base by micro geographic and risk segments, aggregate similar risk
pools across employers, and enable payors or health plans to offer customized
plan options for consumers. Shortening the distribution chain and bundling
healthcare products and services would make healthcare more shoppable.
• Roll
out an encounter-based, claimless model.
Partner
with large care-delivery organizations that cover the full continuum of care
and are in risk-sharing/capitated arrangements to create an encounter-based,
claimless network. For certain populations or certain types of care, patients
would have unlimited access to physicians without having to file claims.
•
Develop next-generation healthcare connectivity platform.
Create
a consumer-centric, plug-and-play connectivity platform, aimed at improving the
overall health, wealth, and productivity of individuals. Much in the same way
that a financial portal accommodates a range of products and services, this
platform would allow payors, providers, consumers, and external partners to
coordinate whole health and wellness products and services. Imagine
logging onto an Amazon-like portal, filling out a risk assessment, receiving
advice, interacting with nurses, and having Alexa act as a concierge to set up
appointments, order pharmaceuticals, and provide behavioral nudges.
The Responses
Regardless of the plays they pursue,
consortia will force incumbent stakeholders to create a more competitive market
and more clearly define their value. As such, they will only add to the
pressure being placed on the industry by disruptive and aggressive mergers,
such as the one between CVS and Aetna.
The
fact that a new group of entrants, blessed with deep pockets and strong
capabilities, is potentially entering the market only heightens the urgency for
the industry to focus on its strategy. Companies that react with one-off moves
to respond to these announcements, or that stand still, are going to get
disrupted. At the same time, in this evolving landscape, resilient first movers
and fast followers will have the opportunity to gain a sustainable advantage.
As we’ve noted, there are a series of no regrets, offensive,
and option value moves that can increase all stakeholders’
ability to remain resilient and win in such a turbulent landscape.
No regrets moves, which make sense regardless
of how the future develops, would include payors developing more effective
technology and analytics, providers creating more holistic care protocols, and
pharmaceutical companies teaming up with employers to manage costs more
effectively. All players would benefit from the ability to explain and justify
their prices and link them clearly to value.
Offensive moves, aimed at enabling the
organization to get to a strategic destination first or faster, include
providers partnering with new employer consortia to streamline the drug supply
chain, pharmacy benefit managers (PBMs) expanding their business model to
include broader medical benefits, and employers creating their own health
consortia.
Option value moves offer a more nuanced way
for companies to approach the future. These are low-risk, low-regret
initiatives that preserve or afford the opportunity to participate in new
markets and develop new products. They could include PBMs providing value-added
services, such as tying reimbursements to the performance of high-cost
specialty drugs, or retail pharmacies working with large employers to create
near-site clinics, or employers considering forming their own consortia.
As we noted at the outset, a great deal is
still unknown about the intent and potential of the Amazon, JPMorgan Chase, and
Berkshire Hathaway health consortium effort. But one thing is clear: All
stakeholders in the healthcare ecosystem need to ensure that their business
models are resilient and allow for timely responses and the flexibility to
evolve.
by Jay Godla, Igor Belokrinitsky,
and Sundar Subramanian
https://www.strategy-business.com/article/Alexa-Whats-Going-on-with-Healthcare?gko=9938f&utm_source=itw&utm_medium=20180213&utm_campaign=resp
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