Look Ma, No Brakes or Steering Wheel
Google experiments with a new phase
of cars: electric-powered vehicles that will dispense with all the standard
controls found in modern automobiles and take the driver out of driving
Humans might be the one problem
Google can't solve. For the past four years, Google has been working on
self-driving cars with a mechanism to return control of the steering wheel to
the driver in case of emergency . But Google's brightest minds now say they
can't make that handoff work anytime soon.
Their answer? Take the driver completely out of the driving.
Their answer? Take the driver completely out of the driving.
The company has begun building a
fleet of 100 experimental electricpowered vehicles that will dispense with all
the standard controls found in modern automobiles. The two-seat vehicle looks a
bit like the ultracompact Fiat 500 or the Mercedes-Benz Smart car if you take
out the steering wheel, gas pedal, brake and gear shift.
The only thing the driver controls is a red “e-stop“ button for panic stops and a separate start button.
The only thing the driver controls is a red “e-stop“ button for panic stops and a separate start button.
The car would be summoned with a
smartphone application. It would pick up a passenger and automatically drive to
a destination selected on a smartphone app without any human intervention.
Google won't say if it intends to
get into the car manufacturing business or simply supply technology to
carmakers, but it says there are plenty of possibilities if it can persuade
regulators to allow cars with no drivers. One potential use: driverless taxi
cabs.
In an interview at Google's headquarters
here, Sergey Brin, a Google co-founder who is actively involved in the research
programme, said the company decided to change the car project more than a year
ago after an experiment in which Google employees used autonomous vehicles for
their normal commutes to work.
There were no crashes. But Google engineers realised that asking a human passenger -who could be reading or daydreaming or even sleeping -to take over in an emergency won't work. “We saw stuff that made us a little nervous,“ said Christopher Urmson, a former Carnegie Mellon roboticist who directs the car project at Google.
There were no crashes. But Google engineers realised that asking a human passenger -who could be reading or daydreaming or even sleeping -to take over in an emergency won't work. “We saw stuff that made us a little nervous,“ said Christopher Urmson, a former Carnegie Mellon roboticist who directs the car project at Google.
The new vehicles will have
electronic sensors that can see about 600 feet in all directions. Despite that,
they will have rearview mirrors because they are required by California's
vehicle code, Urmson said. The front of the car will be made from a foamlike
material in case the computer fails and it hits a pedestrian. It looks like a
bubble car from the future, streamlined to run by itself -a big change from the
boxy Lexus SUV Google has been retrofitting the last few years with
self-driving technology .
The new Google strategy for
autonomous cars is a break from many competing vehicle projects. Mercedes, BMW
and Volvo have introduced cars that have the ability to travel without driver
intervention in limited circumstances -though none completely eliminate the
driver.
In the Mercedes version, the system
disengages itself if the driver takes his hands off the steering wheel for more
than 10 seconds.
By 2017, Volvo plans to have the
cars in the hands of ordinary consumers for testing in the streets of
Gothenburg, Sweden, where the company has its headquarters.
In the interview, Brin acknowledged
those advances, but said they were incremental. “That stuff seems not entirely
in keeping with our mission of being transformative,“ he said.
Google's prototype for its new cars
will limit them to a top speed of 25 miles per hour. The cars are intended for
driving in urban and suburban settings, not on highways. The low speed will probably
keep the cars out of more restrictive regulatory categories for vehicles,
giving them more design flexibility .
Google is having 100 cars built by a
manufacturer in the Detroit area, which it declined to name. Nor would it say
how much the prototype vehicles cost. They will have a range of about 100
miles, powered by an electric motor that is roughly equivalent to the one used
by Fiat's 500e, Urmson said. They should be road-ready by early next year,
Google said.
The current plan is to conduct pilot
tests in California, starting with ferrying Google employees between buildings
around its sprawling corporate campus in California.
Laws permit autonomous vehicles in
California, Nevada and Florida.
But those laws have been written with the expectation that a human driver would be able to take control in emergencies.
But those laws have been written with the expectation that a human driver would be able to take control in emergencies.
Google executives said the initial
prototypes would comply with current California automated-driving regulations.
In the future, Google hopes to
persuade regulators that the cars can operate safely without erate safely
without driver, steering wheel, brake or accelerator pedal. Those cars would
rely entirely on Google sensors and software to control them. So where might
the driverless cars be used besides at Google's offices?
Last year, Lawrence D Burns, former vice president for research and development at General Motors and now a Google consultant, led a study at the Earth Institute at Columbia University on transforming personal mobility . The researchers found that Manhattan's 13,000 taxis made 470,000 trips a day .
Their average speed was 10 to 11 mph, carrying an average of 1.4 passengers per trip with an average wait time of five minutes.
Last year, Lawrence D Burns, former vice president for research and development at General Motors and now a Google consultant, led a study at the Earth Institute at Columbia University on transforming personal mobility . The researchers found that Manhattan's 13,000 taxis made 470,000 trips a day .
Their average speed was 10 to 11 mph, carrying an average of 1.4 passengers per trip with an average wait time of five minutes.
In comparison, the report said, it
is possible for a futuristic robot fleet of 9,000 shared automated vehicles
hailed by smartphone to match that capacity with a wait time of less than one
minute.
Assuming a 15% profit, the current cost of taxi service would be about $4 per trip mile, while in contrast, it was estimated, a Manhattan-based driverless vehicle fleet would cost about 50 cents per mile.
Assuming a 15% profit, the current cost of taxi service would be about $4 per trip mile, while in contrast, it was estimated, a Manhattan-based driverless vehicle fleet would cost about 50 cents per mile.
Google is one of the few companies
that could take on a challenge like that, said John J Leonard, a roboticist in
MIT. But he added: “I do not expect there to be driverless taxis in Manhattan
in my lifetime.“
Brin said the change in Google's car
strategy did not mean that the company was giving up on its ultimate goal of
transforming modern transportation. “Obviously it will take time, a long time,
but I think it has a lot of potential,“ he said. “Selfdriving cars have the
potential to drive in trains much closer together and, in theory , in the
future at much higher speeds.
“There is nothing to say that once
you demonstrate the safety , why can't you go 100 miles per hour?“
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John Markoff
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The New York Times
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ET 140529
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